Republicans have won 2 out of 3 statewide seats. McDonnell has won the position of Attorney General. (Update: McDonnell isn’t out of the woods yet. With 99.84% of precincts reporting, he is clinging to a 1,921 vote lead. I am fairly certain that he will hang on, but he might not. Many newspapers are saying too close to call.) Bill Bolling has won the position of Lieutenant Governor. Jerry Kilgore lost the race for Governor. Tim Kaine is the next governor of Virginia. Here are the preliminary results:
Governor
| Kilgore | 46.01% |
| Kaine | 51.72% |
| Potts | 2.18% |
Lieutentant Governor
| Bolling | 50.65% |
| Byrne | 49.16% |
Attorney General
| McDonnell | 50.01% |
| Deeds | 49.91% |
We need to select more solid conservatives in the primaries. My conservative friends that I talked to weren’t a bit excited about Kilgore. Everyone was excited about Bolling and McDonnell because they were more conservative. A couple of people told me that they wished it was Bolling running for Governor instead of Kilgore. Take a look at who won. The conservatives won. Let’s not put up with this theory that we need to nominate a centrist to attract the center. What wins elections is not the center but rather getting out the vote among the base. I know some older people that would have voted if it were a solid conservative running, but didn’t bother because it was Kilgore.
(Update: Fedora-pundit has said that he doesn’t see how Kilgore could have been any more Conservative. I don’t have the energy to think (much less debate) about that right now, but it really isn’t relevant. He was perceived as not being a solid conservative among his base and that was all that mattered.)
The Hitler ads were a mistake. The Hitler ads were true. The Hitler ads gave the media a plausible reason to bash Kilgore and with 80% of the media supporting Kaine, the inevitable happened. It seems it is a taboo thing to criticize anyone in relation to Hitler no matter how right you are in your criticisms.
Hannity kept repeating over and over, “This isn’t a seat gained for the Democrats. It’s a Democrat replacing a Democrat.” Power Line has this to say:
The Democrats will trumpet this win as evidence that they are on the comeback trail. They may very well be on that trail, but this race provides no good evidence of it. Kaine won because Democratic governor Mark Warner is extraordinarily popular (his approval rating is around 70 percent). There are no national implications here, unless the Dems are wise enough to run Warner for president in 2008, and they aren’t. Recall too that Warner was elected governor in 2001 at a time when President Bush’s popularity was at an all time high. And the Dems elected two governors in Virginia during the Reagan years. This race has never been tied to, or reflective of, national politics.
Update: I updated the results as of 11:09 AM, November 9th.
Update: The Daily Kos (crazy, uber-liberal blog) headline says it all: “Weird. We won. Onward to 2006!”
Update: hillbillypundit makes some interesting points in his post-election analysis:
VA needs to change its motto from “Virginia is for lovers” to “Virginia is for Schizophrenics”. How in the world a state that went solidly for Bush in two elections could elect Kaine, the most liberal politician elected in VA in my lifetime, is amazing. And then they elected conservatives straight down the rest of the ticket.??? I know you’ve all been waiting with bated breath for my analysis, so here goes:
- Despite the hysterical hopes of the Democratic MSM, this election wasn’t about Bush. Warner won in 01 when Bush was wildly popular; VA races are about VA politics and the people involved. Which brings me to:
- You can’t run a race for governor solely focused on your opponent. You ESPECIALLY can’t make the race all about that opponent’s views of an issue that most people don’t care about. And you ESPECIALLY ESPECIALLY can’t win a governorship focusing on an opponent’s views on an issue that EXCITES HIS BASE. The death penalty stuff was the dumbest idea ever; Dick Morris made the point last night on FNC and I agree.
- You’ve got to present yourself in commercials saying who you are, what you believe, and why you want to be gov. Kilgore let everyone intimidate him about his voice/accent; he should’ve been ‘in their face’ daring people to be ignorant bigots because of his poor SW VA background!!
- Kaine had effective rebuttal ads to Jerry’s attacks; Jerry had no effective rebuttal ads to Kaine’s incessant negative ones, esp. those radio ads. Nothing. Zilch.
…
Congrats to Mr. Kaine and all my Demo friends here at CC. I’m happy to know Kaine is now a converted conservative and that there’s conservatives all around him to help keep him from backsliding!
Dave Richardson has this to say:
In my neighborhood of 95 houses I had the only Kilgore lawn sign, and some of my neighbors are very right wing, they just felt no connection to the candidate or that he represented their views on transportation and education.
Update: Wow! Will Vehrs has some incredible post-election analysis over at Commonwealth Conservative! A must-read!
Update: I’m not the only one who thinks Kilgore lost because he wasn’t conservative enough. Two Commonwealth Conservative readers:
The election analysis missed the whole point. Kilgore lost b/c he is from the same big government mold as Kaine is. Kilgore refused to take the Taxpayer Protection Pledge. Kilgore insulted gun owners by saying Philip Van Cleave (VCDL President) “has no credibility on Second Amendment issues.”
The list just goes on and on where Kilgore alienated his base. Bolling on the other hand went out of his way to get the votes from grassroots groups.
Kilgore deserved to lose. Hopefully the Republicans will finally purge all of the RINOs from the party and start winning elections again.
Comment by Tom — 11/14/2005 @ 10:27 am
–
Tom, couldn’t agree more. When Republicans run as principled conservatives something amazing happens, THEY WIN!!! i.e. Bill Bolling
Bob McDonnell will likely win too after the recount proving the point even more.
Comment by Conservative Majority — 11/14/2005 @ 12:30 pm



106 Responses
November 9th, 2005 at 10:38 am
If you know that McDonnell won, you might want to get in touch with the State Board of Elections — they’d like to know whatever it is that you know.
November 9th, 2005 at 11:13 am
Well, the race certainly is closer than when I did the above post, but if you go take a look at the State Board of Elections yourself, you’ll see that McDonnell is still winning.
November 9th, 2005 at 11:18 am
I don’t think I agree with Powerline(a rareity). The Republican image has def taken a hit over the past couple of months. More than anything they have failed to respond to criticiscm in a convincing manner.
So I think that Republicans staying home in Virgina could be a good indicator of the mood around the country.
The President and Republicans in DC need to start responding to the Dems as if it were a campaign year, which seems to be the only time that the Republicans in congress are aggressive.
November 9th, 2005 at 11:22 am
Jerminator, I think that you’re right. But I also think that Powerline is right.
Notice what he said, “They may very well be on that trail, but this race provides no good evidence of it.” Basically he is allowing for the national GOP doing badly, but he is saying that to use the VA gov race as an indicator of them doing badly doesn’t match up with history. The GOP has lost the VA gov even when they were doing incredibly well nationally.
November 9th, 2005 at 1:06 pm
Fair enough. I’m just wondering how this happend. I mean he was conservative enough to get elected the first time.
I was suprised at how Kilgore went out of his way to call Kaine a “liberal”. Maybe that was a result of the base’s concerns in addition to Kaine’s two-facing everyone.
November 9th, 2005 at 1:24 pm
I haven’t been following this race closely at all, but isn’t this McDonnell guy the person who couldn’t remember if he had ever engaged in sodomy?
November 9th, 2005 at 3:21 pm
Yes, that’s him.
In January of 2003, Newport News Circuit Judge Verbena Askew was up for reappointment. McDonnell, then the chair of the House Courts of Justice Committee, moved to block her reappointment, because he’d heard rumors that she was a lesbian. He did so because Virginia’s Crimes Against Nature statute permits only vaginal sex between opposite-sex couples — anal sex and oral sex are both felonies in Virginia, whether between same-sex or opposite-sex couples. McDonnell apparently reasoned that if she’s a lesbian, she’s a felon, and if she’s a felon, she has no business being a judge.
Shortly thereafter he was asked by a reporter if he had ever violated the Crimes Against Nature statute. His now famous answer? “Not that I can recall.”
It’s bad enough that McDonnell favors a government so invasive that it can regulate the specifics of the private sex lives of married adults. And it’s worse still that McDonnell believes that such private activities have some bearing on whether or not somebody is fit for public service. But worst of all is that McDonnell apparently believes that he isn’t bound by those same restrictions that he enforces on the rest of Virginia.
November 9th, 2005 at 4:35 pm
I didn’t know the answer to the question, Jeff, so I asked Waldo to answer. I was sure that he knew. *grin*
November 9th, 2005 at 5:08 pm
I’m not sure which is funnier to me: that he “couldn’t recall” whether or not he had ever violated this law or the fact that the law exists in the first place. “Sodomy” is a “crime against nature?”
November 9th, 2005 at 5:11 pm
Whenever I hear that “not that I can recall line,” I always feel sad for Mrs. McDonnell. All that work, and he can’t even remember…
November 9th, 2005 at 6:06 pm
S Pi, I’m sure she realizes that he says that for purely political (there’s an oxymoron) reasons.
November 10th, 2005 at 11:48 pm
Your conservative Bolling beat the socialist by less than 1.5%. Go ahead and run somebody MORE conservative next time and see what happens. You’ll lose to that socialist instead. Running further to the right is a disaster in a statewide perspective.
November 11th, 2005 at 8:54 am
Maddie, while Bolling received more votes than Kilgore, his effectiveness at getting out the Republican vote was blunted by being the one running for the powerless LG spot that people did not care so much about.
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